@TechReport{iza:izadps:dp13564, author={Hansen, Jörgen and Kristensen, Nicolai and Andersen, Henrik Lindegaard}, title={The Bottom 20%: Early Career Paths of Adolescents with Low GPA}, year={2020}, month={Aug}, institution={Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)}, address={Bonn}, type={IZA Discussion Paper}, number={13564}, url={https://www.iza.org/publications/dp13564}, abstract={Across nations, large proportions of younger birth cohorts obtain no professional qualications. Using a structural dynamic approach, we analyze policies targeted adolescents who leave grade nine with a GPA in the bottom 20%. We find that preparatory courses, offered to young people who are unable to commence a qualifying degree, have no positive impact on future labor market outcomes. Unobservable noncognitive qualities are more important for this group than are cognitive skills. Education is a good option for some, but not for all. Implications for mechanism design and wage support schemes are discussed.}, keywords={structural dynamic programming;adolescents;education}, }