TY - RPRT AU - Anand, Paul AU - Allen, Heidi AU - Ferrer, Robert AU - Gold, Natalie AU - Martinez, Rolando Gonzales AU - Kontopantelis, Evan AU - Krause, Melanie AU - Vergunst, Francis TI - Work-Related and Personal Predictors of COVID-19 Transmission PY - 2020/Jul/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 13493 UR - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp13493 AB - The paper provides new evidence from a survey of 2000 individuals in the US and UK related to predictors of Covid-19 transmission. Specifically, it investigates work and personal predictors of transmission experience reported by respondents using regression models to better understand possible transmission pathways and mechanisms in the community. Three themes emerge from the analysis. Firstly, transport roles and travelling practices are significant predictors of infection. Secondly, evidence from the US especially shows union membership, consultation over safety measures and the need to use public transport to get to work are also significant predictors. This is interpreted as evidence of the role of deprivation and of reactive workplace consultations. Thirdly and finally, there is some, often weaker, evidence that income, car-owership, use of a shared kitchen, university degree type, riskaversion, extraversion and height are predictors of transmission. The comparative nature of the evidence indicates that the less uniformly stringent nature of the US lockdown provides more information about both structural and individual factors that predict transmission. The evidence about height is discussed in the context of the aerosol transmission debate. The paper concludes that both structural and individual factors must be taken into account when predicting transmission or designing effective public health measures and messages to prevent or contain transmission. KW - risk preference KW - deprivation KW - workplace KW - transport KW - predictors KW - transmission KW - COVID-19 KW - extraversion KW - height KW - US KW - UK ER -