TY - RPRT AU - Askitas, Nikos AU - Tatsiramos, Konstantinos AU - Verheyden, Bertrand TI - Lockdown Strategies, Mobility Patterns and COVID-19 PY - 2020/May/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 13293 UR - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp13293 AB - We develop a multiple-events model and exploit within and between country variation in the timing, type and level of intensity of various non-pharmaceutical interventions to study their dynamic effects on the daily incidence of COVID-19 and on population mobility patterns across 135 countries. Taking into account the contemporaneous presence of multiple interventions, we remove concurrent policy bias from the effect of each policy of interest, and we establish that policies curb the epidemic by changing population mobility patterns in a manner consistent with time-use and epidemiologically relevant considerations. We are thus able to shed light on the mechanisms through which confinement measures contribute to "flattening the curve". KW - R0 KW - mobility KW - pandemic KW - 2019 novel coronavirus KW - lockdown KW - confinement measures KW - quarantine KW - transmission KW - behavior KW - incidence KW - COVID-19 KW - compliance KW - non-pharmaceutical interventions KW - NPI KW - basic reproduction number KW - SIR model ER -