TY  - RPRT
        AU  - Jelnov, Artyom
AU  - Jelnov, Pavel
        TI  - Voting Power and Survival: The Case of a Ruling Party
        PY  - 2019/May/
        PB  - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
        CY  - Bonn
        T2  - IZA Discussion Paper
        IS  - 12354
        UR  - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp12354
        AB  - In this article, we empirically study the survival of the ruling party in parliamentary democracies using a hazard rate model. We define survival of a crisis as being successful in a critical vote in the parliament. We develop a general probabilistic model of political crises and test it empirically. We find that during crises, parties in the parliament are likely to vote independently of each other. Thus, we receive as an empirical result what the previous voting power literature assumed. 
        KW  - voting power
KW  - coalitions
KW  - cabinet duration
KW  - Shapley-Shubik index
KW  - Rae index
        ER  -