TY  - RPRT
        AU  - Junankar, Pramod N. (Raja)
AU  - Madsen, Jakob B.
        TI  - Unemployment in the OECD: Models and Mysteries
        PY  - 2004/Jun/
        PB  - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
        CY  - Bonn
        T2  - IZA Discussion Paper
        IS  - 1168
        UR  - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp1168
        AB  - This paper compares models used to explain OECD unemployment. The models suggest
that the "natural rate of unemployment" has been driven up mainly by wage push factors.
Panel data on twenty-two OECD countries are used to investigate the explanatory power of
these models over the past two decades. Our estimates reveal that coefficients on key
variables often turn out with signs which are at odds with the theories or are insignificant and
that a second order autoregressive model performs nearly as well as all the other models.
The conclusion offers some directions for future research.
        KW  - supply shocks
KW  - natural rate
KW  - unemployment
KW  - hysteresis
        ER  -