TY - RPRT AU - Kaiser, Micha AU - Reutter, Mirjam AU - Sousa-Poza, Alfonso AU - Strohmaier, Kristina TI - Smoking and the Business Cycle: Evidence from Germany PY - 2017/Aug/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 10953 UR - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp10953 AB - In this paper, we use data from the German Socio-Economic Panel to investigate the effect on cigarette consumption of macro-economic conditions in the form of regional unemployment rates. The results from our panel data models, several of which control for selection bias, indicate that the propensity to become a smoker increases significantly during an economic downturn, with an approximately 0.7 percentage point increase for each one percentage point rise in the unemployment rate. Conversely, conditional on the individual being a smoker, cigarette consumption decreases during recessions, with a one percentage point increase in the regional unemployment rate leading to an up to 0.8 percent decrease in consumption. KW - unemployment KW - smoking KW - business cycle ER -