TY - RPRT AU - Andalón, Mabel AU - Gibson, John TI - The 'Soda Tax' is Unlikely to Make Mexicans Lighter: New Evidence on Biases in Elasticities of Demand for Soda PY - 2017/May/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 10765 UR - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp10765 AB - Mexico's 'soda tax' has been predicted to reduce average weights by two to four pounds, based on extant estimates of an own-price elasticity of quantity demand for soda of between −1.0 and −1.3. These estimates ignore consumer responses on the quality margin and correlated measurement errors. We use Mexican household budget survey data and city-level soda prices to estimate unrestricted demand models that correct for both errors. The corrected own-price elasticity of quantity demand is just −0.2 to −0.3, so tax-induced soda price increases might cut average weights by less than one pound, which is too small to improve health. KW - demand KW - household surveys KW - quality KW - price KW - soda taxes KW - Mexico ER -