@TechReport{iza:izadps:dp10174, author={Cerveny, Jakub and Ours, Jan C. van and Tuijl, Martin A. van}, title={Effects of a Red Card on Goal-Scoring in World Cup Football Matches}, year={2016}, month={Aug}, institution={Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)}, address={Bonn}, type={IZA Discussion Paper}, number={10174}, url={https://www.iza.org/publications/dp10174}, abstract={We examine the effect of the sending-off of a player on the goal-scoring rates in FIFA World Cup matches in tournaments from 1998 to 2014. We use a hazard rate framework in which the effect of a red card is modeled as a shift in the goal-scoring rate. A red card may harm the team that receives a red card and may be beneficial for their opponent. Indeed, we find that the goal-scoring rate of the sanctioned team goes down, while the goal-scoring rate of the non-sanctioned team goes up.}, keywords={association football;goal-scoring;red card;World Cup football matches}, }