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IZA Policy Paper No. 158
May 2020
Designing Reopening Strategies in the Aftermath of COVID-19 Lockdowns: Some Principles with an Application to Denmark

Governments across the globe have responded to the threat of the Covid-19 virus by imposing substantial lockdown measures largely guided by epidemiological concerns. These lockdowns come at significant economic costs with increased risk of e.g. mass unemployment. Recently, debates have emerged on how to design reopening strategies that achieve the largest possible economic gains while constraining the spread of the virus. The present paper identifies five central challenges economists face in delineating the trade-off between containing the virus from spreading and the economic consequences and costs of lockdown measures. While the principle of tradeoffs is at the core of economics, the road to actually operationalizing this perspective on Covid-19-related lockdown measures is still unpaved. We present several workarounds to the identified challenges based on a recently prepared economic expert assessment commissioned by the Danish government. A reduced form indicator for virus spread pressure is developed and mapped against economic indicators. The resulting tool captures the trade-off between health and economic concerns and can guide the design of reopening strategies.

Kommunikation
Mark Fallak
mark.fallak@liser.lu
+352 585-855-526
World of Labour
Olga Nottmeyer
olga.nottmeyer@liser.lu
+352 585-855-501
Netzwerkkoordination
Christina Gathmann
christina.gathmann@liser.lu

Das IZA@LISER-Netzwerk ist eine weltweite Gemeinschaft für exzellente Forschung in der Arbeitsmarktökonomie und angrenzenden Fachgebieten. Nach dem Wechsel von Bonn wird das Netzwerk nun am Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research (LISER) koordiniert.

Über das IZA@LISER Network
Contact
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Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research (LISER)
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Maison des Sciences Humaines
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IZA Institute (In Liquidation):

Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH i. L.
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Phone: +49 228 3894-0 | Fax: +49 228 3894-510
E-Mail: info@iza.org | Web: www.iza.org
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