TY - RPRT AU - Schmieder, Johannes F. AU - Wachter, Till von AU - Bender, Stefan TI - The Causal Effect of Unemployment Duration on Wages: Evidence from Unemployment Insurance Extensions PY - 2014/Dec/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 8700 UR - https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp8700 AB - This paper estimates the causal effect of long-term unemployment on wages. Job search theory implies that if Unemployment Insurance (UI) extensions do not affect wages conditional on the month of unemployment exit, then reservation wages do not bind on average. Then, UI extensions affect mean wages only through unemployment durations and are valid instrumental variables (IV). Using a regression discontinuity design, we find that UI extensions in Germany reduced job searchers' reemployment wages on average, but did not affect wages conditional on unemployment duration. Resulting IV estimates imply substantial negative effects of unemployment duration on wages of 0.8% per month. KW - long-term unemployment KW - wage losses KW - unemployment insurance ER -