@TechReport{iza:izadps:dp8183, author={Cai, Ruohong and Feng, Shuaizhang and Pytlikova, Mariola and Oppenheimer, Michael}, title={Climate Variability and International Migration: The Importance of the Agricultural Linkage}, year={2014}, month={May}, institution={Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)}, address={Bonn}, type={IZA Discussion Paper}, number={8183}, url={https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp8183}, abstract={While there is considerable interest in understanding the climate-migration relationship, particularly in the context of concerns about global climatic change, little is known about underlying mechanisms. We analyze a unique and extensive set of panel data characterizing annual bilateral international migration flows from 163 origin countries to 42 OECD destination countries covering the last three decades. We find a positive and statistically significant relationship between temperature and international outmigration only in the most agriculture-dependent countries, consistent with the widely-documented adverse impact of temperature on agricultural productivity. In addition, migration flows to current major destinations are especially temperature-sensitive. Policies to address issues related to climate-induced international migration would be more effective if focused on the agriculture-dependent countries and especially people in those countries whose livelihoods depend on agriculture.}, keywords={international migration;climate variability;agricultural productivity}, }