TY - RPRT AU - Acemoglu, Daron AU - Ticchi, Davide AU - Vindigni, Andrea TI - Persistence of Civil Wars PY - 2009/Sep/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 4418 UR - https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp4418 AB - A notable feature of post-World War II civil wars is their very long average duration. We provide a theory of the persistence of civil wars. The civilian government can successfully defeat rebellious factions only by creating a relatively strong army. In weakly-institutionalized polities this opens the way for excessive influence or coups by the military. Civilian governments whose rents are largely unaffected by civil wars then choose small and weak armies that are incapable of ending insurrections. Our framework also shows that when civilian governments need to take more decisive action against rebels, they may be forced to build over-sized armies, beyond the size necessary for fighting the insurrection, as a commitment to not reforming the military in the future. KW - political transitions KW - military KW - coups KW - commitment KW - civil wars KW - political economy ER -