%0 Report
        %A Staghøj, Jonas
%A Svarer, Michael
%A Rosholm, Michael
        %T A Statistical Programme Assignment Model
        %D 2007
        %8 2007 Nov
        %I Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
        %C Bonn
        %7 IZA Discussion Paper
        %N 3165
        %U https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp3165
        %X When treatment effects of active labour market programmes are heterogeneous in an observable way across the population, the allocation of the unemployed into different programmes becomes a particularly important issue. In this paper, we present a statistical model designed to improve the present assignment mechanism, which is based on the discretionary choice of case workers. This is done in a duration model context, using the timing-of-events framework to identify causal effects. We compare different assignment mechanisms, and the results suggest that a significant reduction in the average duration of unemployment spells may result if a statistical programme assignment model is introduced. We discuss several issues regarding the implementation of such a system, especially the interplay between the statistical model and case workers.
        %K heterogeneous effects
%K targeting
%K profiling
%K statistical treatment rules