TY - RPRT AU - Wolfers, Justin AU - Zitzewitz, Eric TI - Five Open Questions About Prediction Markets PY - 2006/Feb/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 1975 UR - https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp1975 AB - Interest in prediction markets has increased in the last decade, driven in part by the hope that these markets will prove to be valuable tools in forecasting, decision-making and risk management – in both the public and private sectors. This paper outlines five open questions in the literature, and we argue that resolving these questions is crucial to determining whether current optimism about prediction markets will be realized. KW - prediction markets KW - information markets KW - event futures KW - political forecasting KW - prediction IVs ER -