%0 Report %A Bamieh, Omar %A Cintolesi, Andrea %A Pagliero, Mario %T Estimating the Returns to Occupational Licensing: Evidence from Regression Discontinuities at the Bar Exam %D 2026 %8 2026 Jul %I Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) %C Bonn %7 IZA Discussion Paper %N 18816 %U https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp18816 %X We estimate the earnings returns to occupational licensing by exploiting regression discontinuities at the Italian bar exam. Law graduates who became lawyers after barely passing the exam earned 20,000 euros (50%) more per year than they would have in alternative occupations. This premium is not driven by monopoly rents from entry barriers. Instead, it reflects a compensating differential for the greater earnings risk inherent in the legal profession relative to the outside options available to law graduates. %K labor market regulation %K occupational licensing %K field of study %K lawyers