@TechReport{iza:izadps:dp18816, author={Bamieh, Omar and Cintolesi, Andrea and Pagliero, Mario}, title={Estimating the Returns to Occupational Licensing: Evidence from Regression Discontinuities at the Bar Exam}, year={2026}, month={Jul}, institution={Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)}, address={Bonn}, type={IZA Discussion Paper}, number={18816}, url={https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp18816}, abstract={We estimate the earnings returns to occupational licensing by exploiting regression discontinuities at the Italian bar exam. Law graduates who became lawyers after barely passing the exam earned 20,000 euros (50%) more per year than they would have in alternative occupations. This premium is not driven by monopoly rents from entry barriers. Instead, it reflects a compensating differential for the greater earnings risk inherent in the legal profession relative to the outside options available to law graduates.}, keywords={labor market regulation;occupational licensing;field of study;lawyers}, }