TY - RPRT AU - Aoki-Beattie, Yu AU - Arulampalam, Wiji AU - Lloyd, Neil TI - Proximity to Fast-Food Outlets and Adolescent z-BMI: Accounting for Persistent Health Dynamics PY - 2026/Jul/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 18770 UR - https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp18770 AB - We estimate the causal effect of exposure to fast-food outlets on adolescent z-BMI using the UK Millennium Cohort Study linked to comprehensive geospatial data. We develop a novel approach to modelling z-BMI persistence by clustering early childhood z-BMI trajectories, allowing us to distinguish baseline obesity susceptibility from contemporaneous environmental effects. Identification exploits the near-universal transition from primary to secondary school, generating plausibly exogenous variation in exposure to fast-food outlets around schools. We find that adolescents with at least one major-brand outlet near school have, on average, a 0.158 standard-deviation higher z-BMI. Effects decline with distance, are limited around the home, and do not extend to other food outlets. KW - adolescent obesity KW - body mass index KW - fast food KW - school food environment ER -