TY - RPRT AU - Biasi, Paola AU - Paola, Maria De TI - How Institutions and Local Contexts Shape the Child Penalty: Evidence from Italy’s Public and Private Sectors PY - 2026/Mar/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 18448 UR - https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp18448 AB - This paper examines the labor market consequences of motherhood in Italy, focusing on how institutional and local contexts shape the child penalty. Using INPS administrative data, we track mothers in the public and private sectors from three years before to five years after their first child’s birth. Employing an event-study framework with individual fixed effects, we estimate labor market exit probabilities and earnings losses by sector. Mothers face substantial, persistent penalties, much larger in the private sector, particularly regarding employment exits. Local conditions, childcare availability, unemployment rates, and gender norms, affect these outcomes mainly on the extensive margin, while earnings losses for those who remain employed are less sensitive. These contextual effects are strongest in the private sector, while public sector mothers are largely insulated from local factors. KW - child penalty KW - public sector KW - private sector KW - event study KW - economic conditions KW - childcare availability KW - gender norms ER -