TY - RPRT AU - Fang, Tony AU - Pracek, Torin AU - Chen, Jianghua AU - Chen, Wen-Hao TI - Agricultural Trade and Geopolitics: A Comparative Analysis of China-U.S. and China-Canada Trade Relations PY - 2026/Feb/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 18362 UR - https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp18362 AB - This paper draws on trade data, academic literature, government reports, and policy documents to contextualize historic trade dynamics and trace the buildup to recent disputes. Using a comparative framework, we analyze how Sino-U.S. and Sino-Canada relations have shaped and continue to shape agri-food trade flows. Our analysis reveals structural vulnerabilities in U.S. and Canadian agricultural exports to China, emphasizing how reliance on a narrow set of commodities exposes both countries to economic losses resulting from China’s trade policies. Simultaneously, China’s dependence on a limited number of suppliers for large volumes of key commodities makes it vulnerable to price volatility and supply uncertainty. KW - agri-trade KW - bilateral agreements KW - tariffs and non-tariff trade barriers ER -