%0 Report %A Fang, Tony %A Pracek, Torin %A Chen, Jianghua %A Chen, Wen-Hao %T Agricultural Trade and Geopolitics: A Comparative Analysis of China-U.S. and China-Canada Trade Relations %D 2026 %8 2026 Feb %I Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) %C Bonn %7 IZA Discussion Paper %N 18362 %U https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp18362 %X This paper draws on trade data, academic literature, government reports, and policy documents to contextualize historic trade dynamics and trace the buildup to recent disputes. Using a comparative framework, we analyze how Sino-U.S. and Sino-Canada relations have shaped and continue to shape agri-food trade flows. Our analysis reveals structural vulnerabilities in U.S. and Canadian agricultural exports to China, emphasizing how reliance on a narrow set of commodities exposes both countries to economic losses resulting from China’s trade policies. Simultaneously, China’s dependence on a limited number of suppliers for large volumes of key commodities makes it vulnerable to price volatility and supply uncertainty. %K agri-trade %K bilateral agreements %K tariffs and non-tariff trade barriers