TY - RPRT AU - Schiff, Maurice TI - Migration and Population Growth’s Impact on Natural Resources and Welfare: The Role of Manufacturing’s Returns to Scale PY - 2026/Feb/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 18361 UR - https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp18361 AB - I examine the impact of population growth and endogenous migration on renewable natural resources (NR) and welfare in a general equilibrium model with two sectors – a commodity and a manufacturing sector, and with two inputs – labor and NR. Under population growth and no migration, a country’s NR and welfare are unchanged (increase) (decline and eventually collapse) over time for constant (increasing) (decreasing) returns to scale in the manufacturing sector, i.e., for ϕ=(>)(<)1. Migration’s impact is more complex. For instance, migration is nil under ϕ=1. It results in convergence (divergence) between home and host countries under ϕ<(>)1, and benefits both countries only if ϕ<(>) 1 in the home (host) country. Thus, ignoring how the level of the manufacturing sector’s returns to scale affects migration flows and their impact on NR and welfare is likely to lead to erroneous conclusions and policy implications. KW - migration KW - population growth KW - Renewable Natural Resources (NR) KW - impact on NR and welfare ER -