@TechReport{iza:izadps:dp18360,
            	author={Schiff, Maurice},
            	title={Can Trade Benefit Natural Resources Under Population Growth? The Role of Manufacturing’s Returns to Scale},
            	year={2026},
	month={Feb},
            	institution={Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)},
            	address={Bonn},
            	type={IZA Discussion Paper},
            	number={18360},
            	url={https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp18360},
	abstract={I examine whether trade can improve the impact of population growth on natural resources (NR) and welfare over time. Under autarky, population growth results in NR and welfare collapse over time, irrespective of the value of the returns to scale in the manufacturing sector, ϕ. Under trade, NR and welfare are unchanged (increase) (collapse) over time for ϕ=(>)(<)1 – though the decrease in welfare under ϕ<1 is dampened relative to autarky. Thus, countries experiencing rapid population growth may benefit from opening up to trade.},
	keywords={population growth;Renewable Natural Resources (NR);trade vs autarky;manufacturing returns to scale;impact on NR and welfare},
            }