%0 Report %A Jinkins, David Carson %A Kuka, Elira %A Labanca, Claudio %T Welfare Programs and Crime Spillovers %D 2025 %8 2025 Jun %I Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) %C Bonn %7 IZA Discussion Paper %N 17958 %U https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp17958 %X Research on the social safety net examines its effects on recipients and their families. We show that these effects extend beyond recipients’ families. Using a regression discontinuity design and administrative data, we study a Danish policy that cut welfare benefits for refugees, increasing crime among affected individuals. Linking refugees to neighbors, we find increased crime among non-Danish neighbors, with spillovers persisting even after direct effects stabilize. Accounting for these spillovers raises the marginal value of public funds by 20%. We explore several mechanisms and find evidence consistent with peer effects among young individuals from the same country of origin. %K spillovers %K welfare programs %K crime