TY - RPRT AU - Dench, Daniel AU - Pineda-Torres, Mayra AU - Myers, Caitlin Knowles TI - The Effects of the Dobbs Decision on Fertility PY - 2023/Nov/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 16608 UR - https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp16608 AB - The U.S. Supreme Court decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization sparked the most profound transformation of the landscape of abortion access in 50 years. We provide the first estimates of the effects of this decision on fertility using a pre-registered synthetic difference-in-differences design applied to newly released provisional natality data for the first half of 2023. The results indicate that states with abortion bans experienced an average increase in births of 2.3 percent relative to states where abortion was not restricted. KW - abortion KW - Dobbs KW - fertility KW - power analysis ER -