TY  - RPRT
        AU  - Aparicio, Juan P.
AU  - Jetter, Michael
AU  - Parsons, Christopher
        TI  - Peacefully Demobilizing Rebels: Identity, Emotional Cues, and the FARC
        PY  - 2023/Apr/
        PB  - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
        CY  - Bonn
        T2  - IZA Discussion Paper
        IS  - 16054
        UR  - https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp16054
        AB  - In the early 2000s, the Colombian government aired messages during games of the national football team, urging FARC rebels to demobilize. We first study the strategy's effectiveness, leveraging game dates, kick-off times, and spatial-temporal variation in rain-induced signal strength in a municipality-day-level panel spanning 2003-2016. Over 1,000 rebels demobilized because of family-themed (but not national-unity-themed) messages, received during unexpected losses (i.e., negative emotional cues). We then model a rebel's demobilization decision, combining identity salience with their emotional state. Finally, we corroborate the model's predictions examining family- versus non-family-specific holidays and local climatic anomalies.
        KW  - civil war
KW  - conflict resolution
KW  - demobilization
KW  - hearts-and-minds
KW  - information campaigns
        ER  -