@TechReport{iza:izadps:dp16054,
            	author={Aparicio, Juan P. and Jetter, Michael and Parsons, Christopher},
            	title={Peacefully Demobilizing Rebels: Identity, Emotional Cues, and the FARC},
            	year={2023},
	month={Apr},
            	institution={Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)},
            	address={Bonn},
            	type={IZA Discussion Paper},
            	number={16054},
            	url={https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp16054},
	abstract={In the early 2000s, the Colombian government aired messages during games of the national football team, urging FARC rebels to demobilize. We first study the strategy's effectiveness, leveraging game dates, kick-off times, and spatial-temporal variation in rain-induced signal strength in a municipality-day-level panel spanning 2003-2016. Over 1,000 rebels demobilized because of family-themed (but not national-unity-themed) messages, received during unexpected losses (i.e., negative emotional cues). We then model a rebel's demobilization decision, combining identity salience with their emotional state. Finally, we corroborate the model's predictions examining family- versus non-family-specific holidays and local climatic anomalies.},
	keywords={civil war;conflict resolution;demobilization;hearts-and-minds;information campaigns},
            }