TY  - RPRT
        AU  - Ahmad, Husnain F.
AU  - Gibson, Matthew
AU  - Nadeem, Fatiq
AU  - Nasim, Sanval
AU  - Rezaee, Arman
        TI  - Forecasts: Consumption, Production, and Behavioral Responses
        PY  - 2022/Dec/
        PB  - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
        CY  - Bonn
        T2  - IZA Discussion Paper
        IS  - 15831
        UR  - https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp15831
        AB  - Scarce information and human capital may make it difficult for residents of developing countries to produce accurate forecasts, limiting responses to uncertain future events like air pollution. We study two randomized interventions in Lahore, Pakistan: 1) provision of air pollution forecasts; 2) general training in forecasting. Both reduced subjects' own air pollution forecast errors; the training effect suggests that modest educational interventions can durably improve forecasting skills. Forecast receipt increased demand for protective masks and increased the responsiveness of outdoor time to pollution. Forecast recipients were willing to pay 60 percent of the cost of mobile internet for continued access. 
        KW  - pollution avoidance
KW  - training
KW  - forecasts
KW  - environmental information
        ER  -