%0 Report %A Seibold, Arthur %A Seitz, Sebastian %A Siegloch, Sebastian %T Privatizing Disability Insurance %D 2022 %8 2022 Sep %I Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) %C Bonn %7 IZA Discussion Paper %N 15579 %U https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp15579 %X Public disability insurance (DI) programs in many countries face pressure to reduce their generosity in order to remain sustainable. In this paper, we investigate the welfare effects of giving a larger role to private insurance markets in the face of public DI cuts. Exploiting a unique reform that abolished one part of the German public DI system for younger workers, we find that despite significant crowding-in effects, overall private DI take-up remains modest. We do not find any evidence of adverse selection on unpriced risk. On the contrary, private DI tends to be concentrated among high-income, high-education and low-risk individuals. Using a revealed preferences approach, we estimate individual DI valuations, a key input for welfare calculations. We find that observed willingness-to-pay of many individuals is low, such that providing DI partly via a private insurance market with choice improves welfare. However, we show that distributional concerns as well as individual risk misperceptions can provide grounds for justifying a full public DI mandate. %K disability insurance %K social insurance %K mandate %K privatization %K risk-based selection %K welfare