TY  - RPRT
        AU  - Dahl, Gordon B.
AU  - Lu, Runjing
AU  - Mullins, William
        TI  - Partisan Fertility and Presidential Elections
        PY  - 2021/Dec/
        PB  - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
        CY  - Bonn
        T2  - IZA Discussion Paper
        IS  - 14948
        UR  - https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp14948
        AB  - Changes in political leadership drive sharp changes in public policy and partisan beliefs about the future. We exploit the surprise 2016 election of Trump to identify the effects of a shift in political power on one of the most consequential household decisions: whether to have a child. Republican-leaning counties experience a sharp and persistent increase in fertility relative to Democratic counties, a shift amounting to 1.2 to 2.2% of the national fertility rate. In addition, Hispanics see fertility fall relative to non-Hispanics, especially compared to rural or evangelical whites. 
        KW  - fertility
KW  - partisanship
KW  - elections
        ER  -