%0 Report
        %A Dahl, Gordon B.
%A Lu, Runjing
%A Mullins, William
        %T Partisan Fertility and Presidential Elections
        %D 2021
        %8 2021 Dec
        %I Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
        %C Bonn
        %7 IZA Discussion Paper
        %N 14948
        %U https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp14948
        %X Changes in political leadership drive sharp changes in public policy and partisan beliefs about the future. We exploit the surprise 2016 election of Trump to identify the effects of a shift in political power on one of the most consequential household decisions: whether to have a child. Republican-leaning counties experience a sharp and persistent increase in fertility relative to Democratic counties, a shift amounting to 1.2 to 2.2% of the national fertility rate. In addition, Hispanics see fertility fall relative to non-Hispanics, especially compared to rural or evangelical whites. 
        %K fertility
%K partisanship
%K elections