@TechReport{iza:izadps:dp13092,
            	author={Briscese, Guglielmo and Lacetera, Nicola and Macis, Mario and Tonin, Mirco},
            	title={Compliance with COVID-19 Social-Distancing Measures in Italy: The Role of Expectations and Duration},
            	year={2020},
	month={Mar},
            	institution={Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)},
            	address={Bonn},
            	type={IZA Discussion Paper},
            	number={13092},
            	url={https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp13092},
	abstract={We study how intentions to comply with the self-isolation restrictions enacted in Italy in response to the COVID-19 crisis respond to the length of their possible extension. Based on a survey of a representative sample of Italian residents (N=894), we find that respondents who are positively surprised by a given hypothetical extension (i.e. the extension is shorter than what they expected) are more willing to increase their self-isolation. In contrast, negative surprises (extensions longer than expected) relate with a lower willingness to comply. In a context where individual compliance has collective benefits, but full enforcement is costly and controversial, communication and persuasion have a fundamental role. Our findings provide insights to public authorities on how to announce lockdown measures and manage people's expectations.},
	keywords={social distancing;compliance;expectations;COVID-19;behavioural change},
            }