@TechReport{iza:izadps:dp12426, author={Stuart, Bryan Andrew}, title={The Long-Run Effects of Recessions on Education and Income}, year={2019}, month={Jun}, institution={Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)}, address={Bonn}, type={IZA Discussion Paper}, number={12426}, url={https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp12426}, abstract={This paper examines the long-run effects of the 1980-1982 recession on education and income. Using confidential Census data, I estimate difference-in-differences regressions that exploit variation across counties in recession severity and across cohorts in age at the time of the recession. For individuals age 0-10 in 1979, a 10 percent decrease in earnings per capita in their county of birth reduces four-year college degree attainment by 10 percent and income in adulthood by 3 percent. Simple calculations suggest that, in aggregate, the 1980-1982 recession led to 0.8-1.8 million fewer college graduates and $42-$87 billion less earned income per year.}, keywords={income;education;human capital;recessions}, }