TY - RPRT AU - Grove, Wayne A. AU - Jetter, Michael AU - Papps, Kerry L. TI - Career Lotto: Labor Supply in Winner-Take-All Markets PY - 2018/Dec/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 12012 UR - https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp12012 AB - Are people prone to selecting occupations with highly skewed income distributions despite minuscule chances of success? Assembling a comprehensive pool of potential teenage entrants into professional tennis (a typical winner-take-all market), we construct objective measures of relative ability and earnings projections. We find that prospective tennis professionals are attracted to right-skewed earnings distributions, independent of mean and variance. If skewness in prize money fell to zero, males would be 23% and females 5% less likely to continue pursuing a professional career, on average. Thus, winner-take-all labor markets appear to systematically encourage those with modest talents to pursue long-shot careers. KW - winner-take-all markets KW - superstar markets KW - labor supply KW - human capital KW - gender differences KW - skewness preferences ER -