%0 Report %A Grove, Wayne A. %A Jetter, Michael %A Papps, Kerry L. %T Career Lotto: Labor Supply in Winner-Take-All Markets %D 2018 %8 2018 Dec %I Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) %C Bonn %7 IZA Discussion Paper %N 12012 %U https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp12012 %X Are people prone to selecting occupations with highly skewed income distributions despite minuscule chances of success? Assembling a comprehensive pool of potential teenage entrants into professional tennis (a typical winner-take-all market), we construct objective measures of relative ability and earnings projections. We find that prospective tennis professionals are attracted to right-skewed earnings distributions, independent of mean and variance. If skewness in prize money fell to zero, males would be 23% and females 5% less likely to continue pursuing a professional career, on average. Thus, winner-take-all labor markets appear to systematically encourage those with modest talents to pursue long-shot careers. %K winner-take-all markets %K superstar markets %K labor supply %K human capital %K gender differences %K skewness preferences