@TechReport{iza:izadps:dp12012, author={Grove, Wayne A. and Jetter, Michael and Papps, Kerry L.}, title={Career Lotto: Labor Supply in Winner-Take-All Markets}, year={2018}, month={Dec}, institution={Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)}, address={Bonn}, type={IZA Discussion Paper}, number={12012}, url={https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp12012}, abstract={Are people prone to selecting occupations with highly skewed income distributions despite minuscule chances of success? Assembling a comprehensive pool of potential teenage entrants into professional tennis (a typical winner-take-all market), we construct objective measures of relative ability and earnings projections. We find that prospective tennis professionals are attracted to right-skewed earnings distributions, independent of mean and variance. If skewness in prize money fell to zero, males would be 23% and females 5% less likely to continue pursuing a professional career, on average. Thus, winner-take-all labor markets appear to systematically encourage those with modest talents to pursue long-shot careers.}, keywords={winner-take-all markets;superstar markets;labor supply;human capital;gender differences;skewness preferences}, }