%0 Report %A Andalón, Mabel %A Gibson, John %T The 'Soda Tax' is Unlikely to Make Mexicans Lighter: New Evidence on Biases in Elasticities of Demand for Soda %D 2017 %8 2017 May %I Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) %C Bonn %7 IZA Discussion Paper %N 10765 %U https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp10765 %X Mexico's 'soda tax' has been predicted to reduce average weights by two to four pounds, based on extant estimates of an own-price elasticity of quantity demand for soda of between −1.0 and −1.3. These estimates ignore consumer responses on the quality margin and correlated measurement errors. We use Mexican household budget survey data and city-level soda prices to estimate unrestricted demand models that correct for both errors. The corrected own-price elasticity of quantity demand is just −0.2 to −0.3, so tax-induced soda price increases might cut average weights by less than one pound, which is too small to improve health. %K demand %K household surveys %K quality %K price %K soda taxes %K Mexico