@TechReport{iza:izadps:dp10707, author={Gehrsitz, Markus}, title={Speeding, Punishment, and Recidivism: Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design}, year={2017}, month={Apr}, institution={Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)}, address={Bonn}, type={IZA Discussion Paper}, number={10707}, url={https://www.iza.org/index.php/publications/dp10707}, abstract={This paper estimates the effects of temporary driver's license suspensions on driving behavior. A little known rule in the German traffic penalty catalogue maintains that drivers who commit a series of speeding transgressions within 365 days should have their license suspended for one month. My regression discontinuity design exploits the quasi-random assignment of license suspensions caused by the 365-days cut-off and shows that 1-month license suspensions lower the probability of recidivating within a year by 20 percent. This is largely a specific deterrence effect driven by the punishment itself and not by incapacitation, information asymmetries, or the threat of stiffer future penalties.}, keywords={crime;speeding;deterrence;regression discontinuity}, }